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Beth Lynn Eicher

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post 1: Defining where Microsoft has significant market share [Jun. 30th, 2009|01:03 am]
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Microsoft is striving for majority market share for all that they do. World domination is their plan so this 2 year voyage is based on the scope of all computing on planet earth. Currently has has their fingers or at least a few toes in everything that is computing. We are not limiting this to new deployments. I'm more interested in what is being actually used. 

For example...
A desktop that comes with a Windows license can receive the "patch" of another operating system and then "bug one" is "fixed." I ask you, the Internet, the favor of declaring to the world in a place visible by a search engine of the resolution. With that said, I hearby announce that my Compaq C770 came with a Vista license but I never agreed to the EULA. I installed Ubutnu before first boot. Nick admits that the Linux installbase is far greater than reported due to unreported deployments. The Microsoft tax is another post for another day.

The point of this post is to track where the market share of Microsoft has a chance of being prevalent in Qtr 2 2011 along with my current estimates of Microsoft market share. If someone has a suggestion for another area of concentration to track, please do mention it.

Desktops/Laptops 75%
Office Suites 90% (Google Docs counts. I'm not sure if I should count absence from an Office Suite in the market share breakdown)
Browsers 40%
Servers 30% - defined as a COTS machine providing a service such as www, email, databases, file share, etc. Voip is a different animal and will be tracked seperately, clarity requested by </a></b></a>beeporama
Video Game Consoles 10% - defined has must hookup to a television or other monitor, clarity requested by
</a></b></a>beeporama

Mobile Phone 5% (the words Blackberry and iPhone are competing to be the Kleenex in the smartphone market. I see Microsoft not as relevant, but fxchip asked so I'm tracking it. Any non Microsoft branded phone counts)

I will make posts from time to time with actual stats and other stories of where things are going.

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Comments:
[User Picture]From: beeporama
2009-06-30 12:49 pm (UTC)

(Link)

Do you want to break RDBMS's out from servers, comparing SQL Server to Oracle to MySQL to etc? Of course that opens a whole can of worms: do you break out mail servers, too? Web servers?

Does "video game consoles" include handhelds (DS, PSP), a space in which they do not compete; or full consoles? Then you have to ask yourself if you are counting current consoles (for which they can still make money on the license fees for games) or also legacy consoles. I think it gets really tricky to count these, especially since the cycle of planned obsolescence is so rapid (by all competitors) and the business model is so bizarre (the hardware is usually sold at a loss, making attach rates vital from a business perspective).

Of course this all comes down to my view that Microsoft isn't striving for "world domination" or even "majority market share" so much as "increased shareholder value," and they just happen to see majority market share as a waypost. Like most companies. I suspect they'd take a 49% market share and high profit over a 51% market share at less profit.

Good luck with this either way; getting good counts is going to be hard work.