moved to

Folks, what can I say. The response to the my prediction on the drop of Microsoft's market share has been amazing. What started out as a debate between Nick and I turned into a discussion that is far wider interest than my livejournal friends audience. It became quickly apparent that I needed to become a serious blog journalist and find tools appropriate for doing so. It took me two weeks to research better approaches, plan, and execute. I settled on a WordPress blog hosted on a GNU/Linux Centos 5.1 server.

See you at

Those who want to follow me there can do so via their rss reader of choice.  Google Reader should work, uberjames.

This blog will remain open for personal stuff. If LiveJournal works for you and you like the community here, I encourage you to stay.  There were technical benefits to the move that I have discussed on the new blog about why the move was a good thing.

Thank you all for making it real. Already it has been an amazing experience.


post 730: Ballmer: Linux More Dangerous than Apple

I say that we are in Gandhicon3 because Microsoft is targeting the Linux community. In the first years of Linux, it was easy to ignore since the user base was so small. Then free software was mocked with "just for geeks" thinking. Ladies and Gentleman, the days of ignoring and mocking are over. If you do FLOSS, Microsoft is fighting for you to come to them.

Why should Microsoft care? Geeks have been on board with Linux for years now. Linux is 18 years old. It is time to introduce her to society: Your Linux is ready. The 80% that Nick is talking about have started to checkout the Linux and they like the maturity Linux brings. My mom bought this eeePC with Linux on ToysRUs's website for under $150. She now has zero desire to buy another Microsoft product. Until now, she has been computing with Microsoft operating systems since 1992 because that's what people did. If she isn't the 80%, I don't know who is.
oft started this year poorly.

In February 2009, Microsoft held and investors meeting and what you see here are leaked images of the PowerPoint slides. Mr. Steve Blamer stated "we're very focused in on both Apple as a competitor, and Linux as a competitor. I think the dynamic with Linux is changing somewhat." and "I assume we're going to see Android-based, Linux-based laptops, in addition to phones. We'll see Google more as a competitor in the desktop operating system business than we ever have before."

For more info see The OSWire andLinux Pro Magazine.

post 2: Why I am doing this = GandhiCon3

When I first saw bug 1, "Microsoft has a majority market share" I felt disappointed in the Cannonical and Ubuntu for measuring itself in an adversarial manner instead of concentrating its efforts of making Ubuntu the best operating system ever. I also felt compassion for those who enjoy Microsoft products and accepted that Microsoft would always have a strong market presence. People will use the best product for them.

All of that has changed.

I feel like I'm on top of mountain watching a few pebbles shift. I can feel the avalanche coming. I see many causes in motion. Microsoft's current business practices are the wind that gives speed to the pebbles. All I am doing here is delivering a notice that unless several of these causes halt soon, the change will come exponentially in an yielding fashion.

In a way, I am more than just an observer. With my work with The Ohio Linuxfest the fruits are not measurable. Even if bug one wasn't communicated, I would still be a free software idealist who is happy to see what is afoot.

The facts will come out more in future posts but I am sure that Microsoft feels threatened. It's GandhiCon3 time. As Eric Raymond pointed out "First they ignore you. Then they laugh at you. Then they fight you. Then you win."

post 1: Defining where Microsoft has significant market share

Microsoft is striving for majority market share for all that they do. World domination is their plan so this 2 year voyage is based on the scope of all computing on planet earth. Currently has has their fingers or at least a few toes in everything that is computing. We are not limiting this to new deployments. I'm more interested in what is being actually used. 

For example...
A desktop that comes with a Windows license can receive the "patch" of another operating system and then "bug one" is "fixed." I ask you, the Internet, the favor of declaring to the world in a place visible by a search engine of the resolution. With that said, I hearby announce that my Compaq C770 came with a Vista license but I never agreed to the EULA. I installed Ubutnu before first boot. Nick admits that the Linux installbase is far greater than reported due to unreported deployments. The Microsoft tax is another post for another day.

The point of this post is to track where the market share of Microsoft has a chance of being prevalent in Qtr 2 2011 along with my current estimates of Microsoft market share. If someone has a suggestion for another area of concentration to track, please do mention it.

Desktops/Laptops 75%
Office Suites 90% (Google Docs counts. I'm not sure if I should count absence from an Office Suite in the market share breakdown)
Browsers 40%
Servers 30% - defined as a COTS machine providing a service such as www, email, databases, file share, etc. Voip is a different animal and will be tracked seperately, clarity requested by </a></b></a>beeporama
Video Game Consoles 10% - defined has must hookup to a television or other monitor, clarity requested by

Mobile Phone 5% (the words Blackberry and iPhone are competing to be the Kleenex in the smartphone market. I see Microsoft not as relevant, but fxchip asked so I'm tracking it. Any non Microsoft branded phone counts)

I will make posts from time to time with actual stats and other stories of where things are going.


post 0: 24 months to "Microsoft does not have majority market share"

While I was at the first SouthEastLinuxFest a few weeks ago, I made some bold claims.

"Microsoft will no longer have the majority market share in 24 months" I said.

Even though I was among free and open source neighbors, I was greeted with "Sorry. Not going to happen!" each time except when I said it to Nicholas A. Schembri.  Nick decided to hold me to this claim by making a wager.

If Microsoft has majority market share on June 30 2011, I will owe Nick twenty US dollars.

This blog will serve as a way to keep track of the progress over the next two years.  During this time I will seek nothing but the truth. Bad things will be said about Microsoft, Apple, Linux, Open Source, and Free Software if it is a fact. I will also site evidence that Microsoft's current business practices are unstainable and evidence that people are favoring the ideals of the alternatives.

My claim is basically
bug one but I need to clear up some things right away. 
  • I am not part of the Ubuntu community beyond a user. I also use Red Hat, Suse, PalmOS and Microsoft Windows. Once upon a time I ran Fedora, IRIX, MacOSX, DOS, *BSD and Solaris too but those days are mostly beyond me. Nor am I on the payroll of Cannonical.
  • I consume massive amounts of technology therefore I could be outside the 80% that Nick is talking about. My career as a system administrator for the past 10 years has been mostly working in environments that are not effected by bug one.  Therefore, I will have to look outside my comfort zone.
  • Bug one discusses the desktop market, but computing is larger than that. Microsoft has a whole suite of products in many markets: the console video gaming market, mapping, embedded, home media, high performance computing... I can't finish this list tonight! This blog will be about finding out what markets Microsoft is a part of and how well they are doing.
  • Despite the previous bullet, I assert that Microsoft lacks market share in all that it attempts except for two areas: 1. desktop (laptop and a PC on your desk) 2. office suites applications. If you can think of an area where Microsoft excells, respond and I'll look into it.
  • If you don't want to read this discussion, you can unfriend me and I will understand. On the other hand, if you are a user of computing resources who wants to have an intelligent discussion, then you will be allowed to post a comment even if you are not a friend.  I'm starting this by allowing all comments, even unauthenticated users. If that turns out to be too spammy I might reconsider.

Ada Lovelace Day post in honor of mizmoose

Esther "Moose" Filderman, also known as mizmoose on livejournal is the subject of this Ada Lovelace Day post. She is currently looking for a job and open to relocation.

Moose is a pioneer in the two computing causes that she holds dear:

1. OpenAFS


2. The League of Professional System Administrators - LOPSA

Moose got her start working with AFS and computer support in 1988 when she worked for Carnegie Mellon as a computer operator. There she was exposed to a file systems and system tool projects which were then called Vice, Virtue, and Venus. The Vice project was renamed to Andrew which was renamed to Andrew File Systems. For almost 20 years, she worked for Carnegie Mellon as a professional system administrator with expertise in AFS. Over the years she supported AFS as it grew from a University skunkworks, to an IBM product, and into a thriving open source file system. Today, Moose is an advocate for the use of OpenAFS. She has presented OpenAFS at SCALE and the Ohio Linuxfest. In addition, she keeps the peace on the OpenAFS mailing list and answers questions on OpenAFS administration and support issues.

Moose is also a founding member of The League of Professional System Administrators. She is a system administrator by choice and takes great pleasure training junior system administrators. Her areas of interest are ethics, documentation, training, and advocacy. She currently serves on the education committee and has been involved in coordinating many training days and workshops for system administrators and programmers. Moose also is involved in the leadership committee who vets perspective board members for LOPSA.

Moose is a very generous person. She is most generous knowledge sharing and her time. Her work is mostly behind the scenes and helping others shine. For this reason, she has been an unsung heroine in computing.

I met Moose in 1999 while interning at Pittsburgh Supercomputing Center. Even though she was not my manager, her leadership meant a lot to me. Without strong female role models early in my career such as Moose, I am not sure if I would have stayed with system administration as a profession. Her courage continues to be an inspiration to me today.